Biden’s use of Hamas death toll questioned by prominent statistician, calls number ‘inaccurate’


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Jerusalem – In his State of the Union address, President Biden used the death toll in Gaza released by Hamas’ health ministry, citing a death toll of about 30,000. The numbers have been scrutinized by a prominent statistician at the University of Pennsylvania, who has serious doubts about them.

Abraham Wyner revealed in an interview with Fox News Digital that Hamas, the U.S.-designated terror group, has released false casualty figures in its war against Israel. Wenner is a tenured professor of statistics and data science at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania and co-director of the Wharton Sports Analytics and Business Program.

His dramatic findings ostensibly debunk many Hamas causal claims that President Biden’s administration, the United Nations, and many major mainstream media organizations have accepted at face value.

may further advance Wyner’s calculations, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu It was recently announced that 13,000 terrorists have been killed since the Israel Defense Forces entered Gaza. Wyner disputed health ministry figures in Hamas-controlled Gaza that most of the more than 30,000 Palestinians who have died since Oct. 7 were children and women.

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On October 7, Hamas invaded southern Israel and massacred 1,200 people. including more than 30 Americans.

He said he “was able to prove that the numbers were incorrect” and that the casualty rate “was not 70 percent women and children, but probably closer to 30 percent” based on figures reported by the Israeli government. 35% are women and children” in the Gaza Strip.

Israeli soldiers look over the Gaza Strip from a tank on Friday, January 19. (AP/Maya Areruzo)

In an interview with Fox News Digital, Wyner revealed that Hamas, the U.S.-designated terrorist group, has released false casualty figures in its war against Israel.

The core of Wenner’s analysis revolves around statistical variability and correlation. “Hamas has claimed, and continues to claim, that approximately 70 percent of the casualties were women and children. They either did not report it, or they reported it at the time, and by mid-November, there were no reports of Israelis killing Israelis,” he said. Any of his own warrior. “

Wyner continued, “But they didn’t differentiate between fighters and civilians… They reported that the death toll was not high. Then, in February, they reported that about 25 percent of the casualties were their own fighters, which left It’s a strange situation… there just aren’t enough civilians dying.”

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He added, “They’re just missing. We call it the missing men problem, which shows that the numbers represented are not accurate.”

GAZA CITY, GAZA – OCTOBER 9: Civilians take part in search and rescue efforts after Israeli air strikes destroyed buildings in Gaza City, Gaza, on October 9, 2023. (Photo by Belal Khaled/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images)

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“That means almost the same number of people dying every day,” Wyner said. “It doesn’t change much, and that doesn’t make any sense to me. In a war, there should be changes…Changes come from war planning, lulls, dramatic increases in activity . And these are not observable in the data. We call it too small a dispersion.”

White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre was asked at a recent press briefing why Biden cited Hamas numbers in interviews. ,

Jean-Pierre said: “We – we have said – we have been very clear: Sadly, the public data show how many deaths we have seen in Gaza. The president has been very clear… too many . This is a tragedy. What we’re seeing is a tragedy. The president will continue to talk about this.”

When contacted by Fox News Digital about Winner’s report, a State Department spokesperson said: “Too many civilians have been killed in this conflict. Every civilian death in the conflict is a tragedy. The report was originally published by the online magazine Tablet Published March.” It’s not just statistics; they’ve lost their future, their dreams, their potential. “

Joe Biden during SOTU speech

U.S. President Joe Biden delivers the State of the Union address to a joint session of Congress in the House Chamber of the U.S. Capitol in Washington, DC, March 7, 2024 (Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images) (Getty Images)

The State Department did not dispute Wyner’s findings. In late October, President Biden said he “No confidence in numbers Palestinians are using “to count the death toll in Gaza.”

Yet Biden and Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin have since January viewed Hamas’ data as fact, only to have to retract their statistics, saying they came from the jihadist terror group Hamas.

Wyner did not dispute the State Department’s account of the tragedy of civilian deaths, noting that “the ratio of casualties, civilian casualties to military casualties, is about 1 to 1. Historically, that’s actually an excellent sign that People are paying a lot of attention.” Just target the enemy and keep civilians as safe as possible, recognizing that war is terrible and war does cause collateral damage because every loss of life is tragic, but war is tragic, War kills. “

But he stressed that “the stakes are very high. The only way Hamas can win, whatever it is, is through international pressure, which is through the United States. And the only way they can achieve that is by convincing the United States that there are no civilian casualties.” Bring corresponding military gains. This may result in Israel being forced to cease fire, whether permanent or temporary. That is, Hamas will remain in place.”

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Gaza Al-Shifa Hospital

Ambulances carrying victims of Israeli attacks crowded the entrance to the emergency room of Al-Shifa Hospital in Gaza City on October 15, 2023. Hamas terrorists killed more than 1,400 people in Israel on October 7 in Gaza. ((Photo by Dawood NEMER/AFP)(Photo by DAWOOD NEMER/AFP via Getty Images))

Wenner said of the lack of correlation in the Hamas data, “The basic idea is that on days when there aren’t many explosions, you should see just a few children and women dying. And there are many more. You should see More women and girls die.” On days when there are large numbers of civilian casualties rather than combatant casualties, children die. You should see some women and children, and on days when there are large numbers of civilian deaths, you should see a lot of women and children. But this relationship does not exist. This is what we call irrelevance. ”

A spokesperson for the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) told Fox News Digital: “The United Nations relies on the Gaza Ministry of Health as the source of casualty figures in the area because it is currently almost impossible to provide any United Nations verification on a daily basis. The information used in our products Any data has a clear source.”

The United Nations does not designate Hamas as a terrorist organization.

Thick smoke rises over buildings in Gaza City during an Israeli airstrike on October 9, 2023. (Photo by Sameh Rahmi/NurPhoto via Getty Images)

Critics lamented the failure of many traditional news organizations and politicians to distinguish between civilians killed during the war and Hamas terrorists, stressing that the figures were provided by a terror group with a history of fabricating death tolls.

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Wyner said the center-left Israeli daily Haaretz reported in 2011, two years after the 2009 Israeli operation against Hamas terrorists in Gaza, that “Hamas admitted that it had not communicated to the public figures about the scale of its losses. , they reported the loss of 49 fighter jets, but it was actually more than 700, which is exactly what Israel said at the beginning.”

“Noting that they are unverifiable. However, the data from Hamas, right in front of you, show pretty clear evidence that there are significant problems with these numbers. They do not correspond to reality.”



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By Ali Raza

I am a dedicated and skilled News Content Writer with a passion for delivering accurate and engaging stories to a diverse audience. With a solid background in journalism and a keen eye for detail, I bring a commitment to excellence and a deep understanding of the evolving media landscape.

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